Uh oh! Is housing in trouble?

I was reviewing some charts after the close and I came upon this chart. Notwithstanding Thursday's action, which was the result of earnings misses by two homebuilders, what does this chart of the homebuilders ETF (XHB) against the market telling us about market expectations about the housing rebound? On a a relative basis, XHB staged a relative rally from the Eurogeddon lows of 2011, started rolling over in early 2013 and now has violated a relative support level.

Now consider this recent post from Barry Ritholz about private equity seems to have gone overboard on the “rent to flip” in US housing. Mr. Market starting to get nervous about housing, especially if mortgage rates rise any further.


Cam Hui is a portfolio manager at Qwest Investment Fund Management Ltd. ("Qwest"). This article is prepared by Mr. Hui as an outside business activity. As such, Qwest does not review or approve materials presented herein. The opinions and any recommendations expressed in this blog are those of the author and do not reflect the opinions or recommendations of Qwest. 

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