Saturday, August 8, 2020

Sector and factor review: Not your father's cycle

It's time for one of my periodic reviews of the market from a factor and sector perspective. These reviews are useful inasmuch as they can reveal insights about the character of a market.

Let's begin with how different regions are performing relative to the MSCI All-Country World Index (ACWI). The top panel shows the S&P 500 rolling over relative to global stocks. Even the NASDAQ 100, which had been the market leaders, may be losing relative momentum and starting to trade sideways. The middle panel shows the relative performance of two major developed market regions. Japan is underperforming, and Europe is not showing signs of market leadership as it is trading sideways on a relative return basis. The bottom panel shows the relative performance of emerging market equities. Both EM and EM xChina are starting to bottom and exhibit relative strength, which is a possible sign of a global cyclical rebound, as EM equities tend to be high beta and highly cyclically sensitive.



The full post can be found here.

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