Wednesday, June 12, 2024

The market is fighting the Fed, should you?

Mid-week market update: The option market was pricing in a daily equity market swing of 1.6% ahead of today's events, namely the May CPI report and the FOMC decision. Even though the S&P 500 gained strongly today, the move could be said to be disappointing in volatility terms.
 
The bullish tone was set this morning by the softer than expected CPI report. Stocks gained but didn't react much to the FOMC decision, despite the hawkish tone of the Summary of Economic Projections. Bond prices held above a key resistance level, and the USD weakened, indicating a risk-on tone.
 
 
The market is fighting the Fed, should you?
 
The full post can be found here.

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