Saturday, March 8, 2025

Tops are processes

I sounded a warning in late January about a possible long-term market top, based on a negative divergence of the 14-month RSI. It wasn’t a “sell everything” signal, but a cautionary sign of a topping pattern.

 
It is said that “bottoms are events, but tops are processes”. That’s because market bottoms tend to be formed during panic events, while topping patterns tend to be longer-term drawn out. Here is a review of technical and macro backdrop supportive of my topping thesis.
 
The full post can be found here.

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