Wednesday, September 17, 2025

The golden question: Buy or sell the rate cut?

Mid-week market update: Scheduling notice - I will be traveling for the next 10 days. Barring wild market volatility next week, there will be no mid-week market update next Wednesday, but regular commentaries will be published each weekend.
 
It's always tricky to write a market commentary on the day of the FOMC meeting, as price moves can be quickly reversed the next day. Coming into the meeting, the market was expecting a quarter-point rate cut, and there were even whispers of a jumbo half-point cut.
 
A useful barometer of Fed policy from a cross-asset perspective is gold. Gold recent staged an upside breakout to an all-time high. While it's sensitive to many factors, such as unexpected inflation and geopolitical risk, it's also sensitive to changes in real interest rates.
 

 
The full post can be found here.

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