Saturday, July 13, 2024

Trading the slow market melt-up

We’ve all seen the warning signs about narrow market concentration and deteriorating breadth. The S&P 500 is an accident waiting to happen.
 
On the other hand, strategist Ed Yardeni stated in a CNBC interview that he believed we are in a “slow motion melt-up”. I agree. While the excesses in the stock market are becoming more evident and risks are rising, the bull isn’t done just yet.

The accompanying chart from Jurrien Timmer at Fidelity illustrates my point. If this is a bubble in the making, it could run a lot further as valuation differences are nowhere near the height of the Nifty Fifty or Dot-Com Bubble eras.


Remember Bob Farrell’s Rule #4: “Exponential rapidly rising or falling markets usually go further than you think, but they do not correct by going sideways.”
 
The full post can be found here.

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