Saturday, February 22, 2025

Could a cyclical rebound give the bulls a second wind?

Callum Thomas of Topdown Charts recently argued for the emergence of a global cyclical rebound based on a synchronized central bank easing. Such a scenario of rising inflationary pressures is a signal of a renewal of cyclical rebound in demand.

 
I have some sympathy to that view. I have been bullish on gold for some time, and gold is the classic hedge against unexpected inflation. On the other hand, it runs contrary to my observation that the S&P 500 is undergoing a topping formation (see A Long-Term Sell Signal?).
 
What’s the real story?

The full post can be found here.

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