Wednesday, May 4, 2016

What's the pain trade?

Mid-week market update: In the short run, the SPX has pulled back and appear to be about to test its 50 day moving average (dma) at 2040, while experiencing a positive divergence on RSI-5.

The SPX saw a Golden Cross last week - and the right way to trade these signals is to use the faster moving average as a trailing stop. Until the 50 dma is breached in a definitive way, my inclination is to give the bull case the benefit of the doubt.

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