Wednesday, January 25, 2017

Global market rally = Dow 20K

Mid-week market update: Since the time I issued a correction warning in late December (see A correction on the horizon?), the US equity market has traded sideways in a narrow range. Moreover, the SPX has alternated between a seesaw up-and-down pattern since early January - until today.

As the SPX breaks upwards to a new all-time high, and the DJIA breaches the psychologically important 20,000 mark, it's hard to argue with price and momentum.

Overbought and vulnerable markets can correct in two ways. It can correct through price, with lower prices, or through time, with a sideways consolidation. The latter scenario is often accompanied by an internal rolling correction characterized by weakness in market leaders and nascent strength from laggards, which seems to be what has happened (see The contrarian message from rotation analysis).

The full post can be found at our new site here.

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