Wednesday, January 4, 2017

Top-down meets bottom-up: How expensive are stocks?

Recently, I have seen several variations of market analysis concluding that stocks are expensive based on forward P/E ratios. Here is a tweet from Jeroen Blokland. David Rosenberg characterized the current equity environment as picking up pennies in front of a steamroller.

Blokland followed up the above tweet with an additional comment indicating that earnings growth is badly needed.

Does this mean it's time to get cautious and sell your all stocks? Not so fast! A case can be made that the analysis of the forward P/E chart is based on a misread of how forward EPS expectations are formed. On an adjusted basis, stocks do not appear to be expensive at all.

The full post can be found at our new site here.

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