Wednesday, December 7, 2016

A tale of two markets

Mid-week market update: It was the best of times, it was the worst of times. Stock prices continue to surge ahead, while the bond market *ahem* is having its difficulties.

The Dow Jones Industrials Average made another record high, followed by the Transportation Average. The combination of the dual all-time highs constitutes a Dow Theory buy signal.

By contrast, investors are fleeing the bond market. Moreover, the yield curve is steepening, which means two things. First, long dated yields are rising higher than short yields, which means that investors at the long end of the maturity curve got hurt more. In addition, a steepening yield curve has historically been the bond market's signal of better growth expectations.

How are we to interpret these differing patterns in stocks and bonds? Have stocks gone too far? Are bonds ready for a comeback?

The full post can be found at our new site here.

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